Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 122.441876 139.422316 158.191502 180.524946 206.437911 235.630859 271.113427
2025-12-28 101.592306 124.524089 152.039120 187.681448 232.912684 288.771259 363.552885
2026-01-04 88.115267 113.779535 146.427135 191.400097 252.358412 332.987177 449.168641
2026-01-11 76.841986 103.373877 138.723598 189.877302 263.016022 365.360971 522.148637
2026-01-18 70.186780 97.857967 136.252048 194.288246 281.326687 409.484616 617.139612
2026-01-25 63.503215 91.298015 131.235847 193.939003 291.999750 443.047227 700.395176
2026-02-01 58.615766 86.665035 128.280880 195.947886 305.980679 482.801163 798.765116
2026-02-08 53.138171 80.503185 122.255157 192.265977 310.109315 506.773572 873.612987
2026-02-15 49.601661 76.933570 119.780201 193.816095 322.730782 546.063367 980.885162
2026-02-22 46.595219 73.878710 117.751268 195.740678 335.987447 587.805078 1098.812472
2026-03-01 42.682793 68.972577 112.187851 190.928135 336.576405 606.470594 1174.680788
2026-03-08 39.427679 64.869819 107.575871 187.244919 338.659557 627.922854 1259.124213
2026-03-15 37.036983 62.290084 105.778336 189.295853 353.441702 679.171021 1422.691363
2026-03-22 35.664154 61.385723 106.896061 197.037486 380.685055 760.368768 1670.659021
2026-03-29 33.879629 59.552642 106.111053 200.975635 400.763781 829.875878 1907.229058
2026-04-05 31.563704 56.514770 102.756989 199.368231 408.936572 874.723721 2094.022830
2026-04-12 30.237376 55.195003 102.515045 204.026486 431.238299 955.046840 2389.381916
2026-04-19 28.463970 52.851310 100.032616 203.657642 442.207453 1010.592032 2632.086143
2026-04-26 27.115966 51.213616 98.786774 205.779341 459.187382 1083.612348 2941.620739
2026-05-03 25.291973 48.469482 95.025852 201.890769 461.303288 1119.505768 3151.799476
2026-05-10 24.145672 47.001151 93.773834 203.527837 477.165704 1194.000718 3499.264315
2026-05-17 23.122973 45.699562 92.748467 205.560491 494.318917 1275.093669 3890.196959
2026-05-24 21.587392 43.197981 88.909089 200.477952 492.331324 1302.516101 4110.163978